Press Releases

October 09, 2017


Houston – The U.S. economy has enjoyed a stable, long-term growth track, yet remains vulnerable to federal dysfunction or aggressive Fed moves. In the latest edition of “the BRIEFING,” Transwestern Chief Investment Officer Tom McNearney outlines the positive fundamentals but warns that tensions remain regarding government funding and borrowing.

“In September, the possibility of another government shutdown and default disrupted pricing of short-term securities under looming deadlines, and this is an issue that will need to be revisited before the new deadline of Dec. 8,” said McNearney. “Meanwhile, the markets continue to prosper despite dysfunction in Washington, underscoring that the primary economic risk today is geopolitical.”

August marked 83 consecutive months of U.S. job growth, the longest run on record. Pervasive economic progress spurred the International Monetary Fund to raise its global growth projection to 3.6 percent for 2018, up from 3.2 percent in 2016. Although real estate assets appear fully priced, they are supported by property fundamentals, growth in corporate profits and jobs. Corporate spreads over the 10-year Treasury yield remain healthy at 250-plus basis points, and consumer and business sentiment are at all-time highs.

“The Federal Reserve Bank and European Central Bank are taking a measured approach to normalizing rates and sovereign balance sheets, and with good reason,” McNearney said. “While the majority of tightening cycles the Fed has initiated since World War II landed the economy in recession, this cycle could be one of the exceptions given a lack of inflation and meaningful wage growth.”

Download the full report, including 20 fast facts for the big picture, at http://twurls.com/briefing0917

 
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Transwestern is a privately held real estate firm of collaborative entrepreneurs whodeliver a higher level of personalized service – the Transwestern Experience. Specializing in Agency Leasing, Tenant Advisory, Capital Markets, Asset Services and Research, our fully integrated global enterprise adds value for investors, owners and occupiers of all commercial property types. We leverage market insights and operational expertise from members of the Transwestern family of companies specializing in development, real estate investment management and research. Based in Houston, Transwestern has 35 U.S. offices and assists clients through more than 180 offices in 37 countries as part of a strategic alliance with BNP Paribas Real Estate. Experience Extraordinary at transwestern.com and @Transwestern.


Media Contact:
Stefanie Lewis
713.272.1266
stefanie.lewis@transwestern.com
twmediarelations@transwestern.com

Tom McNearney

Chief Investment Officer

Dallas, Texas

+1 (972) 774-2523